Flu stats before they were hidden.
For the week ending 13 March 2020, the rate of deaths attributed to pneumonia or influenza was 0.87 per 100,000 NSW population below the epidemic threshold of 1.04 per 100,000 population (Figure 8).
Among the 10,005 death registrations in 2020, six (0.06%) mentioned influenza. An additional 773 (7.73%) death registrations mentioned pneumonia.
There have been a total of 20,340 laboratory confirmed notifications of Influenza in Australia for 2020, at the start of 11 May.
Professor Ian Barr, Deputy Director of the WHO Collaborating Centre for Reference and Research on Influenza at the Doherty Institute, told newsGP that while flu is ‘very unpredictable’ and the severity of seasons depends on many factors, similar rebounds have been seen previously in Australia.
‘Certainly, that played out in 2018–19. So, 2018 was a record low for us in the past 10 years, and in 2019 was a very big year,’ he said.
‘So sometimes that does happen. I don’t know whether you can lock it in, though.
‘What we don’t really know is how much impact there really is with having low seasons in terms of exposing people in one year or not exposing them, and then having them more susceptible the following year.
‘But certainly you would expect, logically, that if we have fewer people infected this year that we’ll have less herd immunity going forward, unless the vaccine can pick up some of that slack.’
Australia recorded 58,870 laboratory-confirmed cases in 2018 – less than 60% of the overall 2010–2019 average of 99,618 – which was followed by a record 313,360 cases in 2019, equivalent to a 432% year-on-year increase.
Last year’s season was also marked by an early peak. Dr Kerry Dr Kerry Hancock, Chair of the RACGP Specific Interests Respiratory Medicine network, told newsGP that can be a concern if the effect of this season’s vaccination wears off and there is no herd immunity.
‘We’re not quite sure what this means for next year; there hasn’t been a lot of flu in the community and therefore we don’t have that herd immunity, so we’ll be relying more on the flu vaccine,’ she said.
‘I think it will be a “wait and see” approach and we’ll all be a little bit anxious because we probably won’t have the vaccine for COVID-19 by early next year when the flu might potentially start to circulate again.
‘It will be very interesting to see next autumn and winter with regard to trying to reduce our exposure to these viruses.’
However, with social distancing measures beginning to relax, the latest FluTracking report shows there has already been a slight increase in people reporting influenza-like symptoms over the past two weeks.
Likewise, Professor Barr said children returning to schools could also see an increase in influenza cases this season.
Strangely flu cases dropped off when COVID cases increased. Flu deaths also dropped off when COVID deaths were reported. And the symptoms of each were nearly identical.
Of course the measures of isolation introduced in regard to the reported COVID pandemic will have had a dramatic effect on these influenza cases and yet even though flu cases in early 2020 were significantly high until restrictions put in place for the alleged COVID pandemic.
The government has stopped providing statistics of flu cases and deaths during the claimed COVID crisis. It all seems very strange, and
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